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By · December 9th, 2008 · 1,629 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Fifteen and BCS Championship Predictions

Disclaimer: The following is not intended for betting purposes.

The AV Ranking was two for three in conference championship picks from last week. It was much less accurate, however, predicting the odds of beating the spreads.

While the AV Ranking was able to successfully predict Oklahoma beating the 17 point spread in the Big 12 championship, it failed to predict Florida beating the spread …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · December 1st, 2008 · 883 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Fourteen and Conference Championship Predictions

Disclaimer: the following is not intended for betting purposes.

As promised here and here, this week the AV ranking will be used to predict the Big 12, ACC, and SEC conference championship games. Forgetting for the moment that the AV Ranking would have put Texas in the Big 12 championship over Oklahoma, these conference championship games feature the following opponents:

Big 12: Missouri vs. …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · November 25th, 2008 · 764 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Thirteen

The season is winding down and the BCS picture is becoming more and more clear. With so many one-loss teams a controversy is brewing, but a lot (albeit not all) should be settled with the conference championships.

Visit these links to see the prior releases of the ESP for weeks eight, nine, ten, eleven, and twelve. After next week the AV Ranking will be used …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · November 17th, 2008 · 820 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Twelve

Little has changed from week eleven to twelve of the ESP. The difference in the top teams lies largely in who does and who doesn’t control their own desitiny.

As the season draws to an end, the national championship picture becomes more clear and the AV Ranking more closely approaches Sagarin. Similarly, the ESP approaches the BCS although subtle differences will remain at the season’s …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · November 10th, 2008 · 590 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Eleven

It’s time for week eleven of the ESP. To observe the trends of the ESP and AV Ranking check out weeks eight, nine, and ten. Also, check back in at the end of the season where there will be a few validation studies of the AV Ranking as well as predictions of the BCS bowl winners. Over the past few years the AV Ranking has …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · November 4th, 2008 · 598 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Ten

It’s week ten of the ESP and week three of the BCS Standings. A comparison of the ESP and AV Ranking follows.

Elite Selection Playoff

For the second week in a row the top five of the ESP are identical to the BCS Standings. Despite the loss, Texas only dropped three spots. This is in no small part to the quality of teams they have …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · October 27th, 2008 · 676 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Nine

It’s week nine of the ESP and week two of the BCS Standings. A comparison of the ESP and AV Ranking follows.

Elite Selection Playoff

The past few weeks have seen some movement at the top but the really surprising thing is the number of teams in the top 25 of the ESP that aren’t from BCS conferences.

Boise State (10), Utah (11), TCU (13), …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · October 20th, 2008 · 932 views
2008 Elite Selection Playoff:  Week Eight

Coinciding with the release of the BCS comes this week’s version of the Elite Selection Playoff (ESP). For you first timers an explanation of the ESP can be found here. I’ve also attached the links to the BCS standings and Sagarin Computer Ranking for comparison purposes.

Nota Bene, Sagarin’s strength of schedule calculation is very different from that used by the AV Ranking. Sagarin …