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Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 20th, 2010 · 2,558 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Western Michigan

The game against Western Michigan provided the perfect opportunity for first-year head coach Brian Kelly’s squad to show something lacking in recent Irish teams—a killer instinct. Unfortunately, it didn’t surface , at least not in the first two quarters of play.

The Broncos shrugged off an 80-yard touchdown strike from quarterback Dayne Crist to wide receiver Michael Floyd on the first snap of the game …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 14th, 2010 · 4,109 views
Notre Dame vs. Western Michigan: Keys to an Irish Win

Saturday marks the midpoint of head coach Brian Kelly’s inaugural season. To date the Irish have posted a 3-3 record against the 4th most difficult AVR strength of  schedule, with two of the losses coming by narrow margins to top 25 teams. Fortunately, the next three games feature three very winnable contests.

The first is against the Western Michigan Broncos. This will be the first …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 13th, 2010 · 2,950 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh

Another week, another opportunity to extend an early lead and come away with a decisive victory. Much like the season-opener against Purdue, Notre Dame had Pittsburgh on the ropes with a 20-7 lead early in the third quarter, only to let the Panthers back in the game.

This team hasn’t learned how to close out a game. The defense, for the most part, seems up …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · October 11th, 2010 · 1,741 views
2010 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Six

What a weekend to release rankings.

Number one Alabama falls to South Carolina, LSU hands the Gators their second consecutive loss in what can only be described as Milesian fashion, Michigan State’s defense contains Denard Robinson en route to thumping rival Michigan, Oregon State upsets Arizona on the road, and Stanford finishes off the Trojans on their final drive to give them their second loss …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 6th, 2010 · 3,066 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Boston College

Notre Dame notched its second-straight victory over their Catholic archrival, but it wasn’t exactly pretty.

The Irish started fast with three first quarter touchdowns before the offense was beset by inconsistency, scoring a touchdown on only one of the final 13 drives after posting three in the first four. In many ways, Notre Dame was lucky this contest wasn’t closer. Had the defense not been …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · September 29th, 2010 · 2,849 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Stanford

This one had a different feel. After hard-fought, last-minute losses to Michigan and Michigan State, Notre Dame was systematically dismantled by a physical, well-coached Stanford squad.

The Irish offense never managed to get into a rhythm or established any consistent production, and the defense, which played well against a potent Stanford offense and kept Notre Dame in the game until the fourth quarter, was eventually …

Game Coverage, Personnel, Staff, Statistics »

By · September 27th, 2010 · 3,966 views
Evaluating the Irish: Stanford Cardinal

Following the loss to Michigan two weekends ago, Brian Kelly made it clear that the moral victories that come from heartbreaking losses are nothing to hold onto anymore. And while I agree with him, that the Irish should be playing with energy and enthusiasm on every down, following Saturday’s loss to Stanford, it seems that moral victories are the only thing keeping the team and …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · September 23rd, 2010 · 4,955 views
Notre Dame vs. Stanford: Keys to an Irish Win

Notre Dame returns home to host 16th-ranked Stanford Saturday. The Irish enter the contest on the heels of two close, last-minute losses and in desperate need of a win. Fortunately, recent history is on their side—since 1997 Notre Dame has won nine of the last 13 (0.692) in the series, including six straight at home. Unfortunately, this isn’t your typical Cardinal squad.

Stanford enters the …

Game Coverage, Personnel, Staff »

By · September 20th, 2010 · 2,572 views
Evaluating the Irish: Michigan State Spartans

As I slowly recovered from the initial shock of the final play of Notre Dame’s game against Michigan State, something felt eerily familiar—almost like déjà vu. And as I continued to reflect, I realized that I had experienced it before. Notre Dame’s recent loss seems like a link in a chain of disappointments that have had Irish fans reeling since 1988, the last time the …

Miscellany, Off-Season, Statistics »

By · August 19th, 2010 · 5,393 views
2010 Season Predictions Survey Results

Thanks to all who participated in the 2010 Season Predictions Survey. When the data to support this analysis was gathered, over 1,500 votes had been cast.

The primary goal of this exercise is to move beyond simply estimating a win-loss record. Selecting the percent confidence in a win on a game-by-game basis is not only much more accurate, it also allows for some interesting follow-on …