If the ESP determined the National Championship Game participants, it would be all but a done deal. Unless Texas loses to Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship, they will face the winner of the SEC Championship game which pits Alabama and Florida for the second consecutive year.

TCU and Boise State have had great runs, but they are too far away in point differentials to make up the ground needed to get into the top two. The bias of pre-season polls and poor competition has shattered their shot at a title game appearance. Cincinnati is undoubtedly in the same category.

The Irish finish the season at 60th in the AV Ranking, going 6-6 against the 26th most difficult schedule and generating the 47th best TPR. A cursory view of this metric seems to be an excellent predictor of team ranking as Alabama, Florida and Texas occupy the top spots and several other highly ranked teams have excellent TPR rankings.

Stay tuned for some BCS bowl game predictions, similar to those performed last season.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)

[table id=191 /]

AV Ranking

[table id=192 /]

Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)

[table id=193 /]

Strength of Schedule (SOS)

[table id=194 /]

Team Performance Ratio (TPR)

[table id=195 /]

Margin of Victory (MOV)

[table id=196 /]

Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)

[table id=197 /]