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2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Eleven

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2008 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Eleven

It’s time for week eleven of the ESP. To observe the trends of the ESP and AV Ranking check out weeks eight, nine, and ten. Also, check back in at the end of the season where there will be a few validation studies of the AV Ranking as well as predictions of the BCS bowl winners. Over the past few years the AV Ranking has successfully predicted about 70 percent of the BCS bowl games, including the last two national champions.

Elite Selection Playoff

The top five of the ESP looks a lot like last week with one exception. Alabama remains atop the rankings for the second straight week after surviving LSU in overtime. Likewise, Texas Tech holds on to the number two spot. The biggest change comes from Penn State who drops down to a tie for number eight after their lost to Iowa.

Elite Selection Playoff
RankTeamAPCoachs'AVPoints
1Alabama1131
2Texas Tech2220.986
3Texas4510.931
3Florida3340.931
5Oklahoma5460.863
6Southern Cal6670.808
7Utah8750.794
8Penn State78110.712
8Boise St9980.712
10Ohio State1010100.657
11Georgia131290.602
12Oklahoma St1013120.589
13Missouri1211130.575
14Ball St1416140.465
15North Carolina1717150.397
16TCU1518170.383
17Michigan St1815180.369
18Brigham Young1614290.301
19Pittsburgh2121160.273
20Florida St2019220.232
21Cincinnati2222190.205
22LSU1920320.178
23Air ForceNRNR200.082
24Virginia TechNRNR210.068
24South Carolina2423390.068

Strength of Schedule

Washington retains the top strength of schedule spot followed by Arkansas, Purdue, Utah State, and Texas. Out of the top 25 teams in the ESP, only two (Texas and Georgia) have strength of schedules in the top ten. The Fighting Irish have played the 76th ranked strength of schedule.

Strength of Schedule
RankTeamPoints
1Washington1
2Arkansas0.897
3Purdue0.879
4Utah St0.873
5Texas0.867
6Virginia0.85
7Nebraska0.843
8New Mexico0.813
9Syracuse0.775
10Georgia0.765

AV Ranking

Despite one loss the Longhorns remain number one in the AV Ranking, ahead of Texas Tech and Alabama. This is due to the competition Texas has faced as well as their only loss coming in a close affair on the road. The poor schedules of Alabama and Texas Tech are judged to be worth more debit than the single close away loss of the Longhorns. Notre Dame comes in at number 60 in the AV Ranking.

AV Ranking
AVTeamPointsSOSQWLAWPMOV
1Texas0.88551117
2Texas Tech0.82383255
3Alabama0.79848112
4Florida0.78136892
5Utah0.789412116
6Oklahoma0.75264662
7Southern Cal0.74363891
8Boise St0.7421066638
9Georgia0.72810371634
10Ohio State0.72516171719
11Penn State0.7111031164
12Oklahoma St0.6875952013
13Missouri0.6774832209
14Ball St0.67611766310
15North Carolina0.67534612422
16Pittsburgh0.67143661941
17TCU0.6647739136
18Michigan St0.65965651531
19Cincinnati0.65652662243
20Air Force0.627104391421
21Virginia Tech0.62727133657
22Florida St0.62479262417
23Wake Forest0.61327333663
24Nebraska0.6127204947
25California0.61237164423

Furthermore

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