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2009 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Twelve

By · November 23rd, 2009 · 0 Comments · 1,602 views
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2009 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Twelve

The national title picture is becoming more and more clear.

Unless something dramatically changes, it will be Texas against the winner of the SEC in the national championship game. The ESP has Alabama number one and Florida number two, while the BCS has the two teams in reverse order.

This disparity is largely due to the computer rankings used by the BCS and the computer ranking used by the ESP, the AV Ranking. Alabama ranks number one in the AV Ranking, largely because of their statistical dominance and a better (albeit still not good) strength of schedule ranking than the Gators. Alabama has played the 68th toughest strength of schedule while Florida has faced the 83rd most difficult slate of teams. Additionally, Alabama has the number one TPR, mostly because of an excellent turnover margin and stifling defense.

After the third consecutive loss the Irish drop to number 53 in the AV Ranking with the 31st ranked strength of schedule and 42nd best TPR. Notre Dame’s upcoming opponent, the Stanford Cardinal, ranks 33rd but has a lower strength of schedule and TPR ranking.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)
RankTeamAP PollCoach's PollAV RankingPoints
1Alabama2311
2Florida1150.986
3Texas3230.972
4TCU4420.944
5Cincinnati5560.861
6Boise St6670.819
7Ohio State9840.791
8Georgia Tech7780.777
9Pittsburgh89120.68
10Oregon1010110.652
11Iowa131390.597
12Penn State1211130.583
13Virginia Tech1414100.555
14Oklahoma St1112170.527
15Clemson1516180.402
16LSU1717200.333
16Brigham Young1815210.333
16Miami FL1921140.333
19Oregon St1618270.25
20Houston2520160.236
21North Carolina2324150.222
22Utah2219220.208
23Southern Cal2422190.18
24Mississippi2025240.125
25California21NR300.069
AV Ranking
RankTeamPointsStrength of ScheduleQuality Wins/LossesAdjusted Win PercentageMargin of VictoryTeam Performance Ratio
1Alabama0.911684651
2TCU0.906816224
3Texas0.8914918412
4Ohio State0.85629110710
5Florida0.8528322443
6Cincinnati0.847376112013
7Boise St0.83611114229
8Georgia Tech0.81990472317
9Iowa0.778483103333
10Virginia Tech0.77141322165
11Oregon0.7511528161314
12Pittsburgh0.74789718156
13Penn State0.72380561068
14Miami FL0.7133010223325
15North Carolina0.713662223619
16Houston0.69410118142138
17Oklahoma St0.695681162522
18Clemson0.6893916311423
19Southern Cal0.6764511344953
20LSU0.6673327223028
21Brigham Young0.6651028191832
22Utah0.66210332162736
23Wisconsin0.6443681313918
24Mississippi0.6449522311816
25Nebraska0.646959221221
Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)
RankTeamPoints
1Cincinnati0.866
2TCU0.865
2Boise St0.865
4Texas0.852
4Florida0.852
6Alabama0.845
7Georgia Tech0.792
8Pittsburgh0.775
9Brigham Young0.733
10Ohio State0.729
Strength of Schedule (SOS)
[table "187" seems to be empty /]
Team Performance Ratio (TPR)
RankTeamPoints
1Alabama0.906
2Texas0.905
3Florida0.853
4TCU0.827
5Virginia Tech0.808
6Pittsburgh0.797
7Oklahoma0.795
8Penn State0.784
9Boise St0.78
10Ohio State0.766
Margin of Victory (MOV)
RankTeamPoints
1Texas0.937
2TCU0.903
2Boise St0.903
4Florida0.896
5Alabama0.826
6Penn State0.78
7Ohio State0.767
8Oklahoma0.736
9Central Michigan0.735
10Nevada0.719
Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)
RankTeamPoints
1Ohio State1
2North Carolina0.685
3Iowa0.672
4Alabama0.657
4Georgia Tech0.657
6TCU0.628
7North Carolina St0.607
8Northwestern0.571
9Purdue0.554
10Miami FL0.548

Furthermore

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