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2010 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Thirteen

By · November 29th, 2010 · 0 Comments · 3,097 views
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2010 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Thirteen

There was some shuffling atop the polls and the AVR this week as three teams—Boise State, LSU, and Oklahoma State —in last week’s ESP top 10 lost.

The Broncos fell one spot in the AVR but fell more sharply in both the AP and Coaches Polls dropping five spots in the former and seven in the latter. LSU dropped from 6th to 13th in the AVR, from 5th to 11th in the AP, and from 6th to 12th in the Coaches Poll. Oklahoma State fell five spots in the AVR and Coaches Poll and seven in the AP Poll.

Oregon moved up two spots in the AVR with their convincing win over Arizona and jumped Auburn for the top spot in the ESP. The Ducks sit atop both pools and are second in the AVR while the Tigers are 1st in the AVR and second in the polls.

TCU, the only other undefeated team, is in third place in the ESP and in both polls but 0.001 behind Boise State in the AVR mostly due to the 101st most difficult strength of schedule. The margin between the Ducks and Tigers (0.014) is far less than that between the Horned Frogs and Tigers (0.068) suggesting that TCU would need quite a bit of help to get into the BCS National Championship game. Since the Horned Frogs have no more remaining regular season games, it will require an Oregon loss to Oregon State or Auburn losing to South Carolina in the SEC Championship for TCU to have a shot playing for the championship.

The victory over the Trojans nearly pushed the Irish into the top 25 of the AVR. Notre Dame moved up for the third consecutive week, this time from 37th to 28th. The Irish retained their first place strength of schedule ranking, dropped two spots down to 21st in quality wins/losses (QWL), moved up seven spots to 47th in adjusted win percentage (AWP), rose two spots in margin of victory (MOV) to 48th, and dropped two spots in team performance ratio (TPR) down to 41st. The defense continues to rise in the TPR, now ranked 16th in the country, while the offense fell from 68th to 71st with the lackluster performance against USC.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)
RankTeamAP PollCoaches PollAV RankingPoints
1Oregon1121
2Auburn2210.986
3TCU3340.918
4Wisconsin4460.864
5Ohio State6650.824
6Stanford55100.783
7Boise St91030.756
8Michigan St7790.743
8Arkansas8870.743
10Oklahoma10980.689
11LSU1112130.567
12Missouri1514110.513
13Virginia Tech1211180.5
13Nebraska1313150.5
15Oklahoma St1615120.472
16Nevada1417140.445
17Alabama1719170.337
17Texas A&M1918160.337
17South Carolina1816190.337
20Utah2121200.216
20Florida St2020220.216
22Mississippi St2222250.121
23Northern Illinois2423230.108
24West Virginia2324240.094
25Hawai`i25NR210.081
AV Ranking (AVR)
RankTeamPointsStrength of ScheduleQuality Wins/LossesAdjusted Win PercentageMargin of VictoryTeam Performance Ratio
1Auburn13513138
2Oregon0.92510311135
3Boise St0.9145516521
4TCU0.91410129213
5Ohio State0.8715683842
6Wisconsin0.8619110657
7Arkansas0.856174131913
8Oklahoma0.85378131716
9Michigan St0.853691282619
10Stanford0.858783464
11Missouri0.841245171812
12Oklahoma St0.8293119101015
13LSU0.8132314172825
14Nevada0.8111396726
15Nebraska0.801783131117
16Texas A&M0.79152212521
17Alabama0.7813472196
18Virginia Tech0.7738642131210
19South Carolina0.7632718212111
20Utah0.7259783101552
21Hawai`i0.7178317201614
22Florida St0.7115383212022
23Northern Illinois0.7031198310718
24West Virginia0.6837158262427
25Mississippi St0.6514724314328
Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)
RankTeamPoints
1Oregon1
2TCU0.996
3Auburn0.987
4Stanford0.912
5Boise St0.908
6Nevada0.904
6Wisconsin0.904
8Michigan St0.895
8Ohio State0.895
10Oklahoma St0.829
Strength of Schedule (SOS)
RankTeamPoints
1Notre Dame1
2Washington0.88
3Minnesota0.863
4UNLV0.841
5Texas A&M0.804
6Iowa St0.801
7Oklahoma0.787
8Oregon St0.787
9Illinois0.753
10Washington St0.752
Team Performance Ratio (TPR)
RankTeamPoints
1Boise St1
2Ohio State0.936
3TCU0.923
4Stanford0.887
5Oregon0.874
6Alabama0.866
7Wisconsin0.855
8Auburn0.852
9Iowa0.851
10Virginia Tech0.826
Margin of Victory (MOV)
RankTeamPoints
1TCU1
2Boise St0.969
3Oregon0.959
4Ohio State0.903
5Wisconsin0.849
6Stanford0.843
7Nevada0.814
7Northern Illinois0.814
9Alabama0.81
10Oklahoma St0.755
Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)
RankTeamPoints
1Auburn1
2Texas A&M0.719
3Nebraska0.689
4Arkansas0.686
5Missouri0.59
6Iowa0.545
7Alabama0.537
8Oklahoma0.532
9Nevada0.51
10Wisconsin0.477

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