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2010 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Thirteen

By · November 29th, 2010 · 0 Comments
2010 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Thirteen

There was some shuffling atop the polls and the AVR this week as three teams—Boise State, LSU, and Oklahoma State —in last week’s ESP top 10 lost.

The Broncos fell one spot in the AVR but fell more sharply in both the AP and Coaches Polls dropping five spots in the former and seven in the latter. LSU dropped from 6th to 13th in the AVR, from 5th to 11th in the AP, and from 6th to 12th in the Coaches Poll. Oklahoma State fell five spots in the AVR and Coaches Poll and seven in the AP Poll.

Oregon moved up two spots in the AVR with their convincing win over Arizona and jumped Auburn for the top spot in the ESP. The Ducks sit atop both pools and are second in the AVR while the Tigers are 1st in the AVR and second in the polls.

TCU, the only other undefeated team, is in third place in the ESP and in both polls but 0.001 behind Boise State in the AVR mostly due to the 101st most difficult strength of schedule. The margin between the Ducks and Tigers (0.014) is far less than that between the Horned Frogs and Tigers (0.068) suggesting that TCU would need quite a bit of help to get into the BCS National Championship game. Since the Horned Frogs have no more remaining regular season games, it will require an Oregon loss to Oregon State or Auburn losing to South Carolina in the SEC Championship for TCU to have a shot playing for the championship.

The victory over the Trojans nearly pushed the Irish into the top 25 of the AVR. Notre Dame moved up for the third consecutive week, this time from 37th to 28th. The Irish retained their first place strength of schedule ranking, dropped two spots down to 21st in quality wins/losses (QWL), moved up seven spots to 47th in adjusted win percentage (AWP), rose two spots in margin of victory (MOV) to 48th, and dropped two spots in team performance ratio (TPR) down to 41st. The defense continues to rise in the TPR, now ranked 16th in the country, while the offense fell from 68th to 71st with the lackluster performance against USC.

Elite Selection Playoff (ESP)

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AV Ranking (AVR)

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Adjusted Win Percentage (AWP)

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Strength of Schedule (SOS)

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Team Performance Ratio (TPR)

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Margin of Victory (MOV)

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Quality Wins/Losses (QWL)

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