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By · October 13th, 2010 · 2,974 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh

Another week, another opportunity to extend an early lead and come away with a decisive victory. Much like the season-opener against Purdue, Notre Dame had Pittsburgh on the ropes with a 20-7 lead early in the third quarter, only to let the Panthers back in the game.

This team hasn’t learned how to close out a game. The defense, for the most part, seems up …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 7th, 2010 · 4,360 views
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: Keys to an Irish Win

The Irish seek their first winning streak of the season in a home game against the Pittsburgh Panthers Saturday. Both teams enter the contest coming off a win but neither are living up to the pre-season hype—Pittsburgh started the year ranked 15th while many Notre Dame fans anticipated a nine-win season.

Pitt is a familiar foe, at least recently. The Irish have faced the Panthers …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · October 6th, 2010 · 3,084 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Boston College

Notre Dame notched its second-straight victory over their Catholic archrival, but it wasn’t exactly pretty.

The Irish started fast with three first quarter touchdowns before the offense was beset by inconsistency, scoring a touchdown on only one of the final 13 drives after posting three in the first four. In many ways, Notre Dame was lucky this contest wasn’t closer. Had the defense not been …

Miscellany, Off-Season, Statistics »

By · August 19th, 2010 · 5,413 views
2010 Season Predictions Survey Results

Thanks to all who participated in the 2010 Season Predictions Survey. When the data to support this analysis was gathered, over 1,500 votes had been cast.

The primary goal of this exercise is to move beyond simply estimating a win-loss record. Selecting the percent confidence in a win on a game-by-game basis is not only much more accurate, it also allows for some interesting follow-on …

Miscellany, Off-Season, Statistics »

By · July 17th, 2010 · 2,535 views
Interview With College Football Outsiders Statistician Brian Fremeau

The stat gurus at Football Outsiders have released the most recent edition of their off-season annual—Football Outsiders Almanac 2010—complete with an introductory explanation of some new and innovative statistics, 2010 projections for every college football team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, quarterback and recruiting rankings, and a brief history of conference realignment.

In conjunction with this release, Clashmore Mike sat down for a Q&A with …

Miscellany, Off-Season, Statistics »

By · June 25th, 2010 · 7,157 views
2010 Season Predictions Survey

The 2010 Notre Dame football season is drawing near. The Irish are a little over two months away from their home opener against Purdue and Wednesday marked the opening of ticket sales to the general public. In conjunction with the latter, and in preparation for the impending season, Clashmore Mike is hosting its annual pre-season predictions survey.

For the fourth time (excluding George O’Leary) since …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · November 16th, 2009 · 1,095 views
Statistically Speaking: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh

Notre Dame couldn’t complete the comeback Saturday, falling 27-22 to Pitttsburgh at Heinz Field. The Irish offense sputtered for three quarters while the defense kept the score close in the early going.

For the second consecutive week, the team looked unprepared and unmotivated until the fourth quarter. This final 15 minute period showed some potential for the Irish, but head coach Charlie Weis hasn’t found …

Miscellany, News, Statistics »

By · November 11th, 2009 · 822 views
2009 Elite Selection Playoff: Week Ten

Iowa’s loss to Northwestern dropped them out of the top five in the ESP while the other top teams largely remained the same. Florida or Alabama have to lose at least one game, but—with few exceptions—the remaining top five teams have favorable schedules for the remainder of the year. For comparison purposes the BCS results can be seen here.

Movement in the top 10 of …

Game Coverage, Statistics »

By · November 5th, 2009 · 1,216 views
Notre Dame vs. Navy: Keys to an Irish Win

Notre Dame returns home to face the Midshipmen Saturday, one week after crushing the hapless Cougars in San Antonio and one week before an away showdown with the 14th ranked and 7-1 Pittsburgh Panthers.

The Navy offense is potent and always offers a unique challenge for the Irish defense, but it is the Midshipmen defense that comes into South Bend as the best in recent …

Miscellany, Off-Season, Statistics »

By · July 9th, 2009 · 2,664 views
2009 Season Prediction Survey Results

Now that the voting is over, it’s time to present the results.

First, thanks to all who participated. At the time of this analysis better than 200 people cast votes. For each game on Notre Dame’s 2009 schedule voters were asked to select their confidence in a win. Predicting the outcome of the 2009 season via the win confidence of each game is much more …